Government securities (GS) of developing Asian economies are protected from the Greek crisis and will perform well this year thanks to low levels of debt in these countries and because of the rapid growth of their economies. It predicts the international credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s, quoted by Bloomberg. Its economists point out that while government bonds of developed countries are less reliable because they are exposed to a deepening crisis of sovereign debt of Greece. William Hess, director of the division of Standard & Poor’s sovereign ratings for Asia, believes that the interest of investors to the region will increase, but the direct risk of transferring the debt crisis of Europe and Asia still remains limited. Asia surpassed other regions in contributing to the recovery of global economy this year, which happens for the first time in history, according to analysts at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Countries like China, India and South Korea have caused the region to gain a record amount of foreign exchange reserves. This is the response from the Asian crisis in 1997-98, which showed that their central banks can not ensure the stability of local currencies and financial system. Now, the dynamic rates of economic growth in Asian countries, coupled with their low levels of debt, make them an attractive investment alternative. These factors will promote the strengthening of capital flows and the reduction in risk premiums in Asia, considered from Standard & Poor’s.
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The U.S. government securities (GS) recorded its worst year since 1978, after the government expedite the issuance of new debt to help restore the economy from the deepest recession in six decades. According to the index of Bank of America Merrill Lynch government securities have lost 3.6 percent this year – the worst performance for at least 1978, when he began calculating the index. Holders of U.S. debt, however, have achieved returns of 81% in the last decade, according to this index, while the index for the same period Standard & Poor’s 500, including dividends and has lost 8 percent of its value. President Obama takes unprecedented amounts of funding for different programs. Only last week the Treasury sells government bonds worth 118 billion dollars. The issued government debt outstanding reached a record 7.17 trillion. dollars in November after the end of last year was a level of 5.80 trillion. “This is the largest increase in budget deficit for one year, excluding periods of wars and depressions. Realistic expectations for economic recovery and the accompanying increase in interest rates increased the yield of government securities, which automatically means lower prices, “says Christian Kari, a senior analyst at Societe Generale SA, Tokyo. According to him, prices could fall even more.
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