China must make a choice on how to combat the threat of inflation, one option is to raise interest rates in the country and another – to resort to increasing the value of the yuan. Such was the view of analysts at the Asian Development Bank. Like most countries of Asia and China significantly increased public expenditure and resort to a decrease in the rate last year. The purpose of this was to promote economic growth in the global recession, writes AR. Now, authorities in the region discuss options for the removal of economic incentives and increased interest rates to prevent the risk of overheating. ‘Over the next 12-18 months should interest rates rise significantly, depending on how monetary policy is conducted, said in a report, analysts at the bank. The document dealt with Southeast Asia and Hong Kong, Taiwan, China and South Korea. China should take quick action on economic policy back to its normal state, to avoid inflation or “hard landing”, considered by the bank. The persistence of price growth could be done by raising the exchange rate and the country must decide on which of the two ways to act, the report said. For South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Taiwan is recommended a further increase in interest rates. Hong Kong, Indonesia, Philippines and Vietnam would also have to start cutting costs and tightening monetary policy, recommended by the bank.
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The week ended with the fall of most leading stock indexes in Asia as a reason for that and today was the news from China. Forecast of Goldman Sachs showed that the country’s economic growth will fall below 8 percent on a quarterly basis in the second half of the year, which was disappointing for markets. As a result, Shanghai Composite fell 2.1 per cent, but at the end of the session managed to hit the green with a 0.4 per cent to 2383 points. Despite the growth, however, the index has lost more than 7 percent last week. Shortly before the end of the regional trade index MSCI Asia Pacific is moving at a decline of 0.4 percent to 111.49 points. This means that it fell by 3.6 per cent for the week and its value reached its lowest level in three weeks. At the opposite pole today was the major index in Taiwan Taiex, which rose 1.06 percent to 7 330.74 points. This is due to the trade agreement signed with China earlier in the week. Expected by him to achieve acceleration of the integration process in the region of Asia. Today in Tokyo the Nikkei 225 rose 0.13 percent to 9203, 71 pp. However, the index decreased by more than 5 percent last week.
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The crude oil prices fall account for a third day because of weak data on consumer confidence in the U.S. and alarming signs of economic growth in China. The U.S. consumer confidence in June dropped heavily to the level of 52.9 points in June, after a month earlier was 62.7 points. This prompted a sharp drop in U.S. stock exchange yesterday, as predictions were for much more limited decrease in the index. On the New York Stock Exchange yesterday, oil contracts with delivery in August fell by 3 percent to 75.94 dollars a barrel. This is the largest decline in raw material from June 4 onwards. The night continued retreat of the quotes this morning and they were 0.4 percent lower at 75.66 dollars a barrel. Thus, the raw material is directed to the first quarterly drop in prices from late 2008 onwards. From late March till now, oil has dropped by 9.4 per cent. Yesterday in London, Brent crude oil from the supply in August fell 2.8 percent to 75.44 dollars a barrel.
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Year after China called on U.S. fiscal policy “irresponsible” Asian country shows signs of increasing confidence in the policies of U.S. President Barack Obama. This is evident from the data on the size of China’s position in U.S. government bonds. In March and April this year grew by 2.6 percent to 900.2 billion after last year between November and February that she was reduced to 6.5 per cent. So long series of negative has been reported a decade, official data showed. During the two months considered China increased its position in U.S. government bonds with 22.7 billion dollars. This is only part of the increase in foreign assets of the Asian country, which amounted to 205.2 billion dollars. Purchases in recent months have focused on the acquisition of long-term U.S. debt. Unlike now, in 2008 China increased mainly purchases of short-term bonds. For the 12 months to the end of April this year the increase of the position in U.S. bonds with a maturity of two years or more with 46 percent, data show. With the acquisition of long-term bonds China helps the U.S. to keep its funding costs at a record low. Analysts also support companies and consumers in the U.S. and accelerates the process of economic recovery.
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The soft drinks manufacturer PepsiCo plans to invest 2.5 billion dollars in China over the next three years. The money will be invested in new factories in the country in research and promotional campaigns, reported AFP. These funds are added to the already announced $ 1 billion investment company, which announced in 2008 and are planned to be invested by the end of this year. Speaking of the leadership of the group shows that Pepsi’s investment program reflects confidence in this important, growing market. Manufacturer’s plans include the construction of between 10 and 12 new plants in China, which currently has 27 factories of Pepsi. There are plans to expand the portfolio of products tailored for the local market. Last year the competitive Coca-Cola also announced big plans in China, the company plans to invest $ 2 billion there for three years. The investment is quite big for the company, which recovered from hard drop in sales for the months of financial crisis. This investment should recover the placement in the largest country of the world and is basically required by the high consumption of the soft drinks in Asia.
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Government securities (GS) of developing Asian economies are protected from the Greek crisis and will perform well this year thanks to low levels of debt in these countries and because of the rapid growth of their economies. It predicts the international credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s, quoted by Bloomberg. Its economists point out that while government bonds of developed countries are less reliable because they are exposed to a deepening crisis of sovereign debt of Greece. William Hess, director of the division of Standard & Poor’s sovereign ratings for Asia, believes that the interest of investors to the region will increase, but the direct risk of transferring the debt crisis of Europe and Asia still remains limited. Asia surpassed other regions in contributing to the recovery of global economy this year, which happens for the first time in history, according to analysts at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Countries like China, India and South Korea have caused the region to gain a record amount of foreign exchange reserves. This is the response from the Asian crisis in 1997-98, which showed that their central banks can not ensure the stability of local currencies and financial system. Now, the dynamic rates of economic growth in Asian countries, coupled with their low levels of debt, make them an attractive investment alternative. These factors will promote the strengthening of capital flows and the reduction in risk premiums in Asia, considered from Standard & Poor’s.
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The U.S. market analysts predict a new shock to the markets. After Obama’s intentions to repair the banking system radically, according to them, now it is time for China to throw bombs in markets. This time, however, no room for panic, because it is forecast that China will take once an increase in the value of its currency. This should give a strong impetus to the markets, as can be extremely useful for most economies in the world. At this stage, however, nothing is certain, so do not make the mistake to trust fully the hearing, Brian Kelly warns of Kanundrum. “Many foreign exchange traders talking about this for quite some time, but so far nothing like that has happened,” he said. Kelly himself believes that it is very likely to happen. “There are political and economic will in China to do so, he believes. “From an economic standpoint, if inflation continues to grow, they will be most useful to let the yuan to rise and to suppress growth in prices. Purely political, such a decision would simply make the situation of China to the world a favor, “he said.
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The price of crude oil fell in Asian trade because of fears that lending in China will reduce the pace and because of expectations that stocks will rise in the U.S. for the third consecutive week. Among the reasons for the decrease in cost of raw materials and the growth was the dollar to levels of 1.4196 EUR / USD at 1.4288 EUR / USD yesterday. U.S. light crude for delivery in February fell by 82 cents, or 1 percent to 78.20 dollars a barrel in afternoon trading on Asian trade. Today is the last trading day of the February futures. The more active the March contracts fell by 72 cents, or 0.9 percent to 78.60 dollars per barrel. Yesterday the price of raw materials rose by 1.02 dollars or 1.3 percent to 79 dollars for barel.
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KIA Motors South Korean company announced that total sales of passenger cars and trucks in 2009 amounted to 1 651 920 units. This is 20.1% more than in 2008 indicating the company. By region, China KIA significant growth of 69.9% with 256 732 registered units. In Korea, the main markets, North America and Europe, sales of vehicles under the brand KIA amounted to 412 752 units (30.4 percent growth), 304 522 units (16.2 percent growth), 346 181 units (11.3% growth ) and 242 288 units (7.7 percent growth). Bestseller of the brand for 2009. is representative of the C-segment Cerato (known in some markets and under the name Spectra or Forte) with a total of 304 295 units sold. KIA Rio ranks second with 177 299 Realized number, followed by Sportage registered with 172 296 units. Produced wholly in Europe – KIA cee’d remain in 4th place with 124 389 recorded sales, followed by pipsqueak Piquant realized with 100 355 units.
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The rally in Asian and Pacific stock markets continue after China reported the export of its first annual growth for the past 14 months in December. The growth of imports of goods into the country to record levels has an even better sign for the prospects of the global economy. Moreover, last year China has become the biggest market for cars gain on U.S. forward Bloomberg. Sales of cars, buses and trucks in the country increased by 46% yoy to 13.6 million units compared to 10.4 million units in the United States. The regional index MSCI Asia Pacific, excluding Japan, rose by 1.1 percent during today’s session at 432.24 points. Most of extractive companies that helped after the delivery of copper in three months rose by nearly 3% to 7 675 dollars per metric ton on the London Stock Exchange. Gold price, in turn, jumped to a record 1.8 percent last month to 1 158.4 dollars an ounce. With increased session ended in Shanghai, where the Shanghai Composite rose by 0.5 percent to 3 212.75 points, led by financial companies and those in the real estate sector. Yesterday it became clear that exports to China increased by 17.7% yoy in December to 130.7 billion dollars, while imports of Asian countries increased by nearly 56 percent to a record high value of 112.3 billion dollars. Complete with increased trade and exchange in Hong Kong where the Hang Seng added 0.5% to its value at 22 411.52 points. More strongly increased the index of blue chips in Australia S & P / ASX 200, which rose by 0.8 percent to 4 950.7 points, supported by extractive companies. New Zealand NZX 50 closed session, however, negative territory, losing 0.2 percent to 3 303.75 points.
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